Archive for the ‘North Korea’ Category

Bait North Korea

June 24, 2009

The North Koreans are beating their chests so hard I fear an implosion of their torsos.

Yeah yeah, many analysts are saying this most recent barrage of bullshit coming from North Korea is due in large part to a succession issue regarding the youngest son of the Kim dictactor.

None of that matters.

What matters is a North Korea that has the capacity to drop, or launch, a nuclear weapon at either its neighbors or us, the United States of America.

I feel that the current U.S. administration is pursuing a policy of baiting the North into firing the first shot into what would end up being a war to unify the peninsula under South Korean leadership.

The main way in which this baiting would be done, I feel, is through the now-intensified interdiction program established by the most recent UN resolution in which ships from or to North Korea must be searched and detained if any nuclear or missile material is found (Signed even by China and Russia, but their stipulation was that the boarding and searching of such vessels must be voluntary by the captain of whatever ship we’re trying to search).

As it stands now, Obama has already said he would not longer reward North Korean belligerency only to face the same situation months later, whenever the food or fuel or whatever we gave to them the first time runs out.

In fact, the Obama administration has said that if containment via the interdiction of cargo and sanctions does not work, then the U.S. would adopt an “offensive, defensive posture” toward the North. 

If the North ends up firing the first shot, either at our navy or our allies in the region, then a determined coalition could be formed, similiar to that established prior to the First Gulf War.

I mean, seriously, if we’re not trying to bait them into firing the first shot, then what the fuck is our strategy? Are we waiting for the regime to collapse under the weight of more sanctions? Well, it’s been over eight years and that hasn’t happened; the elite of North Korea are apparently plenty content with watching their populace starve to death.

So then what is it? Is the American gameplan to wait until the North acquires or develops the necessary technology to concentrate their nuclear materials into bomb/missile format? Are we waiting for them to develop a viable delivery system?

That would be wonderful, because once the North has these things, it’s pretty much game over: Any conflict with them would amount to at least one, probably more, nuclear detonations against their enemies, and likewise mass nuclear detonation against the North. Why?

Why take this path when we can stop them now?

And don’t spout any of this bullshit about how we’re over-stretched militarily. For shit’s sake, we have the entire Pacific Fleet, on top of however many air bases in Japan and South Korea.

I still think Obama should have authorized the destruction of the North Korean long-range rocket while it was still fueling on it’s launch pad a couple of months ago. That would have sent a very strong message to the entire world: Don’t fuck with Obama.

Sure, it may have started a war, a war in which we would win, most likely, and there you go, no more Kim-led North Korean nuclear bullshit to worry about.

The North does not focus on their crushing defeat in the Korean War by American forces (They were thoroughly trounced and had it not been for massive Chinese and limited Soviet intervention, would have remained the conquered, thus unifying the peninsula under a Democratic government in the 1950s), rather they focus on, and teach their young, the series of faux pas made by the United States since the Korean war regarding the handling of certain incidents.

One of which occured in 1969 when North Korean warplanes shot down a Navy EC-121 surveillance plane and killed all 31 Americans aboard.

In 2003, a group of North Korean warplanes shadowed an American spy plane flying in international airspace over the Sea of Japan and came within 50 feet of the American craft. They followed it for over 20 minutes before breaking off.

Incidents such as these are drilled into the minds of the North Korean citizenry (Who are unable to access any outside media outlets) as proof that not only is the United States out to get North Korea (Which we are, but only because the Kims are fucking lunatics who have a score to settle with their neighbors and us that stem from not only the Korean War but also World War II), but that we are also weak and incapable of a forceful response to such provocations.

It has become increasingly clear amongst analysts and North Korean experts that the North has now concluded that it is in their best strategic interests to continue their nuclear and ballistic missile programs and that the benefits from mastering these things far outweighs anything they may receive by bargaining them away in the Six-Party talks.

Now, regarding an attack against North Korea – their military is strong on paper (Million-man army, over 4,000 tanks, 13,000 artillery pieces, etc.), but how would it hold up against prolonged American bombardment? I mean, how would their bottom of the barrel grunt hold up?

Keep in mind, none of these young soldiers, who make up the vast majority of the North Korean military, have ever been in a war, let alone a sustained bomb/missile/artillery barrage from land, sea and air.

I’m sure many of their highest ranking generals have, veterans of the Korean War, but their fighters have never seen war. Ours have.

The only thing holding the North Korean regime intact, and I repeat, the only thing, is their strong emphasis on the military (It is, after all, a military state.) Their economy is almost non-existent – if it wasn’t for grain donations given to them by China and South Korea they wouldn’t even have enough men to be in their army.

If their military infrastructure collapses, so does the state. And this can be said, to a certain degree, about any nation-state, but North Korea stands at the pinnacle of exemplifying this.

An associate of mine pointed out that regardless of whether they’ve ever seen combat, the isolation from international outlets combined with the brainwashing they’ve undergone would make them fight like fanatics.

Plausible, I suppose, but unlikely.

A counter-argument that outweighs this line of thinking is what would override the other: A fanatical desire to “defend Dear Leader against the imperialistic, evil Americans,” or an astoundingly abrupt, severe mental break due to an appalling, unrelenting bombardment?

I believe that the terror they would undergo during such a bombing (And I’m talking at least a month or more before ground forces, South Korean and, if necessary, American, go in) would take precedence over whatever brainwashing they’ve received.

Anyone who has been in intense combat or has studied the affects of prolonged combat on the human psyche will tell you that fear spreads through an army like an outbreak of flu – from one man in a platoon planting seeds of terror in his comrades to a battalion watching another battalion flee in horror amidst the earth heaving with fire and debris – fear and uncertainty bring an army down.

And as stated above, once their army cracks, the state collapses.

And at this point enters the big question: China.

China does not want North Korean refugees pouring in the millions across their shared border. The Chinese do not want Korean blood mingling with Chinese blood via sexual intercourse. The Chinese want to maintain their blood purity, as their leaders see it.

And not only this, a massive influx of terrified hoards of North Koreans could destabilize an already shaky domestic situation in China regarding the brunt of their masses already consumed by dirt-level poverty.

The Chinese poured a massive army into North Korea in the Korean War because they didn’t want the “imperialist Americans” sitting on their border. They were under the impression that our goal was not to unify the Korean Peninsula, but rather to use it as a jumping off point to attack China.

But things have changed dramatically in the past half-century, and I don’t think China would risk getting into a confrontation with the U.S. again over Kim’s North Korea – they have too much to lose now.

I’ve long floated the idea that the Chinese government uses North Korea as a semi-proxy of sorts, giving them the go-ahead to do these belligerent, outrageous things in order to gauge American response while not being on the receiving end of it. After all, it suits the Chinese well to have a completely dependent, autocratic military state sitting as a buffer region on their border.

But after the recent outbursts coming out of the North these past few months, along with the subsequent series of angry articles directed at the North written by Chinese scholars who, in the past, would always write out against any kind of tough talk made by the Chinese government toward the North, it seems the Chinese are finally getting fed up.

So unless this is some kind of very elaborate ruse, it seems that perhaps the Chinese aren’t using the North as a proxy or, if they were, then perhaps the proxy has thrown off the loose reigns of Chinese guidance and has gone berserk – a monster unleashed kind of deal.

China, putting their reputation on the line, assured the United States years ago, along with the international community, that Chinese-led diplomacy would solve the North Korean nuclear issue. Now the Chinese are embarrassed and pissed off.

Time will tell the outcome of the North Korean issue; but I feel if we don’t act soon, we’ll be caught in a qaundary against a backwards nuclear-armed state making outrageous demands, and threatening nuclear war against any who opposes them.

 

juice

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North Korean Missile Launch

April 15, 2009

I wonder what would have happened if Obama would have issued orders for a targeted strike against the rocket and launch pad that North Korea had set up in the northwest of its country prior to its launching.

Because to be quiet frank here, that whole spectacle made us look like a bunch of pussies.

Here Clinton is waddling around “Stern response stern response” blah blah blah, and when the missle is fired (and failed, ha, but still showed improvement from the North’s last attempted launch of a long-range missile which blew up, I believe, 20 seconds after take-off) …. nothing happens.

Sure an emergency UN Security Council was called into session, but the members failed, due to our loving friends China and Russia, which will be discussed in due time, to issue even a statement of condemnation against the launch.

“Oh, it was to launch a communications satellite into orbit, oh, oooh, c’mon guys. I’m ova hea Chawy!”

Bullshit.

Even if it was launching a satellite – if a rocket can carry it into orbit, then the technology obviously exists for an intercontinental ballistic missile delivery system.

So it was dual test, and no “stern response” was given.

Now, had we hit that piece before it was even launched, just the rocket while it sat on the launch pad, what kind of a message would that have sent to the world regarding America under our new administration?

They’d probably be saying things like, “Well shit, he may be a democrat, but don’t fuck with Obama.”

Let’s be real here, nobody wants North Korea to have nukes, and recent reports suggest they have four warheads (but are lacking the technology needed to compact them and fit them onto a delivery system, ie: a rocket).

I’ve floated a theory for some time, that I am sure many others share, that China could very well orchestrate these little acts of bravado carried out by North Korea just to see our reaction, while they remain on the sidelines, notebooks in hand.

So let’s say we had hit this piece jon, what would’ve happened?

Would the North snap and begin launching it’s medium range rockets, outfitted with conventional explosives, at South Korea and Japan?

Would they make arrangements for another invasion of the South?

What would the world think?

Some would no doubt condemn our actions, but most, even if only in private, would applaud.

And if the North went high-wire (Kim il Jong Long Eeerie Facial Tissue did have a stroke, afterall, which very well could be a contributing factor to pushing him over the edge if we had actually hit the site prior to launch) and began war with her neighbors – but this is assuming that he has absolute power over his country and its military – that would be a perfect opportunity for us to wreck their shit once and for all.

If he began attacking his neighbors in response to our destroying his little baby project icbm … well, I suppose we could unleash a devastating, and horrifyingly intense, bombardment of the country which, I surmise, once confronted with such an onslaught from both land and sea, would completely and utterly collapse into itself in a matter of days…

And then the issue arises: Will China once again step in to defend the North, to keep it as a buffer state and to keep, as Mao so poetically phrased it, “The American imperialists,” from sitting on their border?

But that was a different time.

The Chinese intervention in the Korean War was prompted by fears held by the Chinaman that the real American objective was to take control of North Korea as phase one of a much larger operation, that would involve using it as a jump-off point to tear right into the grissled heart of China herself (and I say grissled because, well shit, they had just come out of quiet a few decades of bloodletting themselves).

They also feared an onslaught of Korean refugees flooding into their lands and mixing blood with the Chinese.

Their disputes go back centuries and centuries; but from what I’ve gathered, the Chinese do not want the Koreans to fuck their women and have halflings running around, no Korean blood in the China blood, and I’m sure the Koreans feel the same way about there being no China blood in the Korean blood.

Things are much different now:

For starters, if China engages us as it did during the Korean War, it very well could turn into a major world war (If McCarther was given clearance to drop atom bombs on China when it first became known that the great Chinese Wave, “like a wheat field rippling in the wind, as far as the eye could see,” was descending upon our forces as they mopped up operations in the North, China would be nowhere near being a viable and potentially [give them another 15 to 20 years or so] devastating military power now).

Economics – China fights us, their economy tanks, as would ours, us being so inter-connected and what not. And given the current global depression taking place right now anyways, I don’t think they would want to get involved in a massive military engagement with the world’s most powerful military.

I don’t think America wants to get into a protracted war with China right now either; given our issues in the Middle East.

Or, for that matter, as an associate of mine pointed out, the United States does not want to go anywhere near the risk of sparking another war…Not right now, not with the economy the way it is; not with our forces already involved in the Mideast and Southern Asian.

But in a situation regarding military action against a frenzied and aggressive response on behalf of North Korea had we destroyed their missile before it launched, our role would be from the sea, and from the sky.

I believe the current force of American troops in South Korea numbers 30,000.

South Korean forces could spearhead north, supported both logistically and militarily (bombardment, targeted strikes, etc.) by the U.S.

Would China object?

They would certainly object at the prospect of millions of half-starved North Koreans flooding across the border into the heart of China. That would just piss them off.

But perhaps China could even help us in such an endeavor; not necessarily by using their military to spearhead from the north (although that would be painfully ironic), but just to beef up their border and keep the skinny hordes of Koreans from coming over.

Again, this goes back to China’s real involvement regarding North Korea.

If the North in fact is a proxy-type entity that China uses not only as a buffer region, but also to test American responses to acts of belligerency, then China would be very much against a toppling of the Northern Regime.

I wonder how much we’ve beefed up the military of the South since the end of the Korean War.

Bottom line here: The North Korean launch made us look like pussies, and I think we should have balled up and risked it by destroying the missile while it sat fueling up on its launchpad.

Hit that shit franky.

juice